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단행본IMF Working Paper 18-169

Is unemployment on steroids in advanced economies?

청구기호
WP 18-169
발행사항
United States : IMF, 2018
형태사항
33 p. :. PDF file ;. 1.27 MB
소장정보
위치등록번호청구기호 / 출력상태반납예정일
이용 가능 (1)
E0003024대출가능-
이용 가능 (1)
  • 등록번호
    E0003024
    상태/반납예정일
    대출가능
    -
    위치/청구기호(출력)
책 소개
Despite conventional macroeconomic theory is based on the idea that demand shocks can only have temporary effects on unemployment, several European economies display highly persistent unemployment dynamics. The theory of hysteresis challenges this view and points out that, under certain conditions, demand disturbances can have permanent effects. In this paper, we find strong empirical evidence of unemployment hysteresis in advanced economies since the 1990s. Relying on an identification scheme instigated by an insider/outsider model, we study the effects of demand shocks allowing for cross-country heterogeneous dynamics, and exploit such heterogeneity to investigate what institutional settings have the potential to soften or amplify the effects of demand shocks. Our results indicate that strengthening labor market institutions that promote a faster adjustment of real wages, removing disincentives for firms to hire and for workers to be employed, and improving the matching between labor supply and labor demand can lessen the effects of adverse demand shocks and lead to a faster reversion of unemployment rates to pre-shock levels.