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연구보고서CEPR Discussion Papers 11978

Population aging, social security and fiscal limits

청구기호
DP 11978
발행사항
London : CEPR, 2017
형태사항
50 p. :. PDF file ;. 529 KB
일반주기
2017. 4
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소장정보
위치등록번호청구기호 / 출력상태반납예정일
이용 가능 (1)
E0002505대출가능-
이용 가능 (1)
  • 등록번호
    E0002505
    상태/반납예정일
    대출가능
    -
    위치/청구기호(출력)
책 소개
We study the sustainability of pension systems using a life-cycle model with distortionary taxation that sets an upper limit to the real value of tax revenues. This limit implies an endogenous threshold dependency ratio, i.e. a point in the cross-section distribution of the population beyond which tax revenues can no longer sustain the planned level of transfers to retirees. We quantify the threshold using a computable life-cycle model calibrated on the United States and on 14 European countries which have dependency ratios among the highest in the world. We examine the effects on the threshold and welfare of a number of policies often advocated to improve the sustainability of pension systems. New tax data on dynamic Laffer effects are provided.