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연구보고서NBER Working Paper 23362

Using kinked budget sets to estimate extensive margin responses: evidence from the social security earnings test

청구기호
WP 23362
발행사항
Cambridge : NBER, 2017
형태사항
63 p. :. PDF file ;. 525 KB
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소장정보
위치등록번호청구기호 / 출력상태반납예정일
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E0002523대출가능-
이용 가능 (1)
  • 등록번호
    E0002523
    상태/반납예정일
    대출가능
    -
    위치/청구기호(출력)
책 소개
We develop a method for estimating the effect of a kinked budget set on workers'' employment decisions, and we use it to estimate the impact of the Social Security Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) Annual Earnings Test (AET). The AET reduces OASI claimants'' current OASI benefits in proportion to their earnings in excess of an exempt amount. Using a Regression Kink Design and Social Security Administration data, we document that the discontinuous change in the benefit reduction rate at the exempt amount causes a corresponding change in the employment rate. We develop conditions in a general setting under which we can use such patterns to estimate the elasticity of the employment rate with respect to the effective average net-of-tax rate. Our resulting elasticity point estimate for the AET is at least 0.49, suggesting that the AET reduces employment by more than one percentage point in the group we study.