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연구보고서CEPR Discussion Papers 12050

(The) labor market effects of refugee waves: reconciling conflicting results

청구기호
DP 12050
발행사항
London : CEPR, 2017
형태사항
57 p. :. PDF file ;. 1,401 KB
일반주기
2017. 5
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소장정보
위치등록번호청구기호 / 출력상태반납예정일
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E0002548대출가능-
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    E0002548
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책 소개
An influential strand of research has tested for the effects of immigration on natives’ wages and employment using exogenous refugee supply shocks as natural experiments. Several studies have reached conflicting conclusions about the effects of noted refugee waves such as the Mariel Boatlift in Miami and post-Soviet refugees to Israel. We show that conflicting findings on the effects of the Mariel Boatlift can be explained by a sudden change in the race composition of the Current Population Survey extracts in 1980, specific to Miami but unrelated to the Boatlift. We also show that conflicting findings on the labor-market effects of other important refugee waves can be produced by spurious correlation between the instrument and the endogenous variable introduced by applying a common divisor to both. As a whole, the evidence from refugee waves reinforces the existing consensus that the impact of immigration on average native-born workers is small, and fails to substantiate claims of large detrimental impacts on workers with less than high school.